Belmont Stakes horses, odds, expert picks & more for first leg of Triple Crown
The Belmont Stakes will be in the unusual position of opening the Triple Crown racing season instead of closing it. The Third Jewel, for the first time in its illustrious history, will serve as the series' first event when "The Run for the Carnations" goes down this Saturday, June 20 ( p.m. ET post time on NBC) in Elmont, N.Y.
With the Kentucky Derby (Sept. 5) and Preakness (Oct. 3) moved back late from their usual Saturdays in May, the Belmont Stakes arrives only on a two-week delay from its originally scheduled June 6 date. In addition to the COVID pandemic causing a big schedule adjustment in relation to the other two races, the Belmont Stakes also goes from the longest Triple Crown race (usually 1 1/2 miles or 12 furlongs) to the shortest (1 1/8 mile or 9 furlongs)
Taking a look at all the three-year-old thoroughbreds competing, here's breaking down the pedigree, odds and the best bets for the marquee action at Belmont Park:
MORE: Full odds & post positions for Belmont Stakes
Belmont Stakes horses
Here's a snapshot of the 10 horses in the field for the first leg of the Triple Crown, including who's riding them and who trains them:
|1||Tap It To Win||John Velazquez||Mark Casse|
|2||Sole Volante||Luca Panici||Patrick Biancone|
|3||Max Player||Joel Rosario||Linda Rice|
|4||Modernist||Junior Alvarado||Bill Moss|
|5||Farmington Road||Javier Castellano||Todd Pletcher|
|6||Fore Left||Jose Ortiz||Doug O'Neill|
|7||Jungle Runner||Reylu Gutierrez||Steve Asmussen|
|8||Tiz The Law||Manny Franco||Barclay Tagg|
|9||Dr Post||Irad Ortiz Jr.||Todd Pletcher|
|10||Pneumatic||Ricardo Santana Jr.||Steve Asmussen|
Belmont Stakes odds
Here's another look at all the horses ranked by their latest odds from Sports Insider and how those compare to their initial morning line odds at Belmont Park:
|Horse||Updated odds||Morning line odds|
|Tiz The Law|
|Tap It To Win||+|
MORE: Get the latest Belmont Stakes odds from Sports Insider
Why is Tiz The Law such a heavy favorite?
Tiz The Law stamped his status as the favorite for the Kentucky Derby had it been run on May 2 by speeding to victory in the Florida Derby on March With the Grade 1 race at Gulfstream Park also being 1 1/8 miles, it makes sense Tiz The Law keeps that same vibe for the Belmont Stakes.
Tiz The Law has shown great instincts with his deliberate pace early in races before picking the right time to hit his fastest gear and pull away. It's appropriate that his first Triple Crown race is in New York, given he's both locally owned by Sackatoga Stable and bred by Twin Creeks Farm.
HIs year-old trainer, Barclay Tagg, once had a dominant popular horse in Funny Cide, who won both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness in Based on the impressive results that include four wins in five races, Tagg has conditioned Tiz The Law to be able to win with different styles from different posts.
Is Tap It To Win the biggest threat to upset Tiz The Law?
Tap It To Win has good recent experience at Belmont Park having just won the Allowance (1 1/16 miles) on June 4. Tap It To Win relies on starting fast and wouldn't surprise anyone if he had the early lead on Saturday. The question is whether, even with the shorter distance, whether he can hold up until the end with Tiz The Law working to leave a lot in the tank for the stretch.
Sole Volante might be a better choice for the upset as the opposite kind of horse. He needs to stay in it early because he is strength is closing. Neither horse is as well-rounded as Tiz The Law, but a big burst somewhere could end up paying off.
Going deep into the field, Dr Post can give Tiz The Law some trouble right next to him at No. 9 if he can stay with him halfway through the race. Max Player and Farmington Road are the true longshots to watch, however.
Max Player won the Grade 3 Withers, a 1 1/8-mile race at Aqueduct when he last raced on Feb. 1. Linda Rice, who is attempting to become the first female trainer to win the Belmont Stakes, has worked to make him feel at home on the track. Max Player is ridden by Joel Rosario, who won a much longer Belmont Stakes with Sir Winston last year.
Farmington Road needs a fast, tight race but those would be ideal conditions for him to shock everyone after coming in fourth in the 1 1/8-mile Arkansas Derby on May 2.
Which post position is the most favorable in the Belmont Stakes?
Tiz The Law is trying to change a long-standing trend from No. 8, which has produced only 5 past winners. No. 1 has by far produced the most winners, at 23, which is an obvious boost to the chances of Tap It To Win.
Then come No. 3 and No. 5, tied for 13 winners each, playing well into the upset chances of Max Player and Farmington Road. No. 2 has been rather effective between two favorable spots, producing 11 winners and providing some hope for Sole Volante.
Two years ago, Triple Crown winner Justify came through from No. 1. Sir Winston made it work with the middle from No. 7 last year.
Which trainers have had the best Belmont Stakes success?
Mark Casse, who trained Sir Winston for his first victory, builds a stronger case for Tap It To Win. Todd Pletcher, a three-time Belmont Stakes winner, has both Farmington Road and Dr Post in the mix. The only other trainer with a Belmont victory is Steve Asmussen with Creator in , but he has two shaky entries in Pneumatic and the overwhelmed Jungle Runner.
Which jockeys have had the best Belmont Stakes success?
While Manny Franco and Tagg are both looking for their first wins with Tiz The Law, there's some good experience elsewhere. Before Sir Winston, Rosario also won with Tonalist in John Velazquez is looking to make it three with Tap It To Win, after victories with Union Rags in and Rags to Riches in
Jose Ortiz is going for the big upset with Fore Left after bringing home Tapwrit in HIs brother, Irad Ortiz Jr., won for Asmussen with Creator and is trying to do the same for Pletcher with Dr Post.
Belmont Stakes picks
With the Belmont Stakes replacing the Kentucky Derby as the first Triple Crown race and the Preakness as the shortest one, it sets up for a predictable result and no surprise on top, especially with the extra time to rest and prepare.
Tiz The Law has everything in his favor, with the right speed for the right length. Max Player is set up to sneakily emerge as a real challenger until right near the end. Tap It To Win will build enough momentum early to make sure he will at least settle for third.
- Win: Tiz The Law
- Place: Max Player
- Show: Tap It To Win
The Belmont Stakes isn’t the big, bad Triple Crown finale of years past, but horse racing fans can rejoice that the race is actually happening. To adjust for the circumstances of a pandemic and a smaller-than-usual field of 10 horses, the Belmont will gear down from its usual 1 1/2 miles to 1 1/8 miles instead.
The Belmont will now kick off the series of Triple Crown races with the Kentucky Derby set for Sept. 3 and the Preakness to follow on Oct. 3. It’s the first time ever that the Belmont will precede both of those races.
What effect will the altered schedule have on this year’s Belmont Stakes field? Not as much perhaps as a condensed training schedule and the adjusted distance from Big Sandy’s length and gaping turns, according to Brian Zipse from Horse Racing Nation.
“I think most people in the industry and most fans are just happy there is a Belmont at this point,” Zipse said. “There’s certainly a altered schedule and a very altered Belmont. It’s the most famous furlong race in America, and this year it’s one turn and 1 1/8 miles.
“It’s very different. People into tradition and history are not thrilled about it.”
Not thrilled about the distance or the adjusted schedule perhaps, but thrilled that the race is happening. The scheduled post time is Saturday at p.m. ET.
Who’s going to win, and how is the race going to unfold? Zipse gave his insights on each horse in the field, their running style, and what needs to happen for them to be competitive at the Belmont Stakes.
1. Tap It to Win ()
Zipse’s thoughts: “Tap It to Win is on the rail, and he is a speed horse. The fact he’s on the rail is not a bad thing for him. He can try to jump out right to the lead and go as fast as he can for as long as he can. The thing about Tap It to Win is, as a 2-year-old he tried some of these graded stakes races and really failed. His two races this year have been excellent. His trainer won the Belmont last year. He has prep races against lesser competition, but had a really impressive, fast prep race for the Belmont. He should be one of the horses bet underneath the heavy favorite.”
Jockey: John Velazquez
Trainer: Mark E. Casse
Owner: Live Oak Plantation
Bred in: Florida
1st - Allowance - June 4,
1st - Allowance OC - May 9,
10th - Street Sense Stakes - Oct. 27,
10th - Breeders’ Futurity - Oct. 5,
1st - Maiden Special Wagering (MSW) - Aug. 24,
2. Sole Volante ()
Zipse’s thoughts: “Sole Volante is on the opposite end of the tactic spectrum from Tap It to Win because he likes to come from way back. Since he switched to turf four races ago, he’s run very, very well at two different race tracks in Florida. He wants a fast, contested pace where horses start to get tired a little bit so he can make a big move. He’ll probably be second choice in the race.”
Jockey: Luca Panici
Trainer: Patrick L. Biancone
Owner: Patrick L. Biancone Racing, Reeves Thoroughbred Racing
Bred in: Kentucky
1st - Allowance OC - June 10,
2nd - Tampa Bay Derby - March 7,
1st - Sam F. Davis Stakes - Feb. 8,
3rd - Mucho Macho Man - Jan. 4,
1st - Pulpit Stakes - Nov. 30,
1st - MSW - Oct. 12,
3. Max Player ()
Zipse’s thoughts: “Max Player is another horse who will be coming from way out of it. He hasn’t raced in a while and I really don’t know if he is quite the class of this race, but he’s an interesting, up-and-coming horse.”
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Trainer: Linda Rice
Owner: George E. Hall
Bred in: Kentucky
1st - Withers - Feb. 1,
1st - MSW - Dec. 17,
2nd - MSW - Nov. 12,
4. Modernist ()
Zipse’s thoughts: “Modernist is a son of Uncle Mo. He’s kind of a pace horse, and I’m not sure if he’ll be close to the lead or middle of the pack. He’s improving, but I don’t think he is quite good enough for this. My best guess is, he’s middle of pack and stays there the whole race.”
Jockey: Junior Alverado
Trainer: William I. Mott
Owner: Pam and Martin Wygod
Bred in: Kentucky
3rd - Louisiana Derby - March 21,
1st - Risen Star Stakes - Feb. 15,
1st - MSW - Jan. 25,
3rd - MSW - Dec. 7,
5th - MSW - Sept. 28,
5. Farmington Road ()
Zipse’s thoughts: “Farmington Road is trained by Todd Pletcher, who has won two Belmonts. He’s going to come from way back. He’s the last of the three come-from-behind horses in this race. He has no early speed and might even be last early.”
Jockey: Javier Castellano
Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
Owner: Eclipse Thoroughbred Trainers
Bred in: Kentucky
4th - Arkansas Derby - May 2,
2nd - Oaklawn Stakes - April 11,
4th - Risen Star Stakes - Feb. 15,
1st - MSW - Jan. 12,
2nd - MSW - Dec. 7,
5th - MSW - Oct. 23,
6. Fore Left ()
Zipse’s thoughts: “Fore Left is a late addition to the race. We didn’t know his trainer was going to choose to go in the Belmont until this week. I don’t think he really has a chance in this race, but he should add speed. Depending how fast he goes, he could cause problems for Tap It to Win to try and wire the Belmont.”
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
Trainer: Doug F. O’Neill
Owner: Reddam Racing LLC
Bred in: Kentucky
1st - UAE Guineas - Feb. 6,
10th - Cecil B. DeMille Stakes - Dec. 1,
3rd - Golden Nugget - Nov. 9,
1st - Sunny Slope - Oct. 20,
7th - American Pharoah Stakes - Sept. 27,
5th - Del Mar Futurity - Sept. 2,
3rd - Best Pal - Aug. 10,
1st - Tremont Stakes - June 7,
1st - MSW - May 19,
7. Jungle Runner ()
Zipse’s thoughts: “Jungle Runner is just a complete outsider. He’s never run a race close enough to compete with these horses. I’m a little surprised he’s trying the Belmont because he’s completely outclassed. I don’t think he has the speed go early, and he’s not going to be running any horses down. He’ll probably never make his presence felt. The best-case scenario is he’s in the first half of the pack early, but he sure won’t be around late.”
Jockey: Reylu Gutierrez
Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
Owner: Calumet Farm
Bred in: Kentucky
8th - Arkansas Derby - May 2,
5th - Mine That Bird Derby - Feb. 23,
8th - Smarty Jones Stakes - Jan. 24,
4th - Remington Springboard Mile - Dec. 15,
1st - Clever Trevor - Nov. 1,
5th - MSW - Aug. 30,
8. Tiz the Law ()
Zipse’s thoughts: “Tiz the Law is the big heavy favorite and deservedly so. There are two really, really good 3-year-olds in training right now and he’s one of them. The other is not in the race. Tiz the Law will try and stalk the lead from third or fourth place as he usually does and make a big move. He won a race at Belmont last year, and he’s got a really good chance to do it again at the Belmont.”
Jockey: Manny Franco
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
Owner: Sackatoga Stable LLC
Bred in: New York
1st - Florida Derby - March 28,
1st - Holy Bull - Feb. 1,
3rd - Kentucky Jockey Club - Nov. 30,
1st - Champagne - Oct. 5,
1st - MSW - Aug. 8,
9. Dr. Post ()
Zipse’s thoughts: “Dr. Post will want to stalk the lead and get a similar trip to Tiz the Law and sit relatively close to try and a make move on the turn. Dr. Post will probably get bet a little more then Pneumatic, but I think Pneumatic is the better tested of the two horses.”
Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
Owner: St. Elias Stable LLC
Bred in: Kentucky
1st - Unbridled - April 25,
1st - MSW - March 29,
4th - MSW - July 4,
Zipse’s thoughts: “Pneumatic is lightly raced and wants to run a similar race to Dr. Post. Both could turn out to be really good horses. The key difference between the two is the Pneumatic raced against Maxfield last time and had a tough race. I think that will move him forward.”
Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.
Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
Owner: Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC
Bred in: Kentucky
3rd - Matt Winn - May 23,
1st - Allowance OC - April 11,
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Big Race Showdown: Expert Picks for Belmont, Santa Anita
For the fifth year in a row, America’s Best Racing is challenging some of the brightest minds in horse betting to come up with their top three picks for key races every weekend leading up to the Breeders’ Cup World Championships. The handicappers face off in what we like to call the “Big Race Showdown.”
The players’ picks will be posted here and a running bankroll will be kept to track their success all year long. Bankrolls will be tabulated on the basis of $2 exacta and $2 trifecta box bets of each player’s top three selections. We will also be keeping track of which player correctly selects the most winners.
Your players for the Breeders' Cup season are Ashley Mailloux (Project Lead, 1/ST Racing), Roberto Rodriguez (El Potro Roberto, DRF en Espanol), Nicolle Neulist (Chartcaller at Hawthorne Race Track and Arlington Park and a Freelance Writer), Louis Rabaut (Handicapper and Host, Horse Racing Happy Hour), Mike Somich (The Magic Mike Show, Somo Bombs Handicapper – The Racing Dudes), John Piassek (Handicapper and Writer, America’s Best Racing), Darwin Vizcaya (Handicapper and Host, La Trifecta from America’s Best Racing), Brian Zipse (Senior Writer for Horse Racing Nation and Host of HorseCenter), Naomi Tukker (Maryland Jockey Club Racing Analyst), Spencer Luginbuhl (Redboard Rewind Podcast from In the Money Media, The Daily Gallop), Edison Hatter (In the Money Media Analyst, Meadowlands On-Air Host), and Mike Gandolfo (Handicapper and Host, Horse Racing Happy Hour).
Put our experts picks into play on AmWager. Sign up for an account this week using and make a deposit using promo code ‘ABR’ and enjoy a % bonus match up to $
This week's races are the Champagne Stakes (a Challenge Series prep for the TVG Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Presented by Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance); the Rodeo Drive Stakes (a "Win and You're In" race for the Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf); and the Awesome Again Stakes (a qualifying race for the Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic).
The NYRA-produced “America’s Day at the Races” show presented by America’s Best Racing will broadcast the Champagne Stakes Saturday from Belmont Park. TVG is the go-to network for “Win and You’re In” preps at Santa Anita and will show the Rodeo Drive Stakes and Awesome Again Stakes on Saturday.
Belmont Stakes Odds, Picks & Complete Handicapping Guide
There will be no Triple Crown winner in , but Saturday’s Belmont Stakes still has plenty to offer fans of horse racing betting. It will feature two of the top four Kentucky Derby finishers and the Preakness winner among its field of eight, and at 1 1/2-miles, it's the longest of the Triple Crown races.
Hot Rod Charlie and Essential Quality finished only a length behind first-place Derby finisher Medina Spirit, who is sitting this one out. Medina Spirit failed a drug test after the Derby and trainer Bob Baffert cannot enter horses at Belmont Park due to a suspension by the New York Racing Association.
The added Belmont distance should be no problem for Rombauer, who surged down the stretch to win the Preakness by a convincing 3 1/2 lengths, but he gets a new jockey this time in Hall of Famer John Velazquez, who is riding in his 25th Belmont Stakes (two victories).
As for Belmont betting trends, post time favorites failed to win 12 of the last 15 runnings, but it’s not that simple. Tiz the Law won at in (a throw-out year as the Belmont date was changed and the race shortened). Justify completed his Triple Crown at in In between, Sir Winston won the running at
Belmont Stakes Odds
|2 Essential Quality||Saez||Cox|
|4 Hot Rod Charlie||Prat||O'Neill|
|5 France Go de Ina||Santana Jr.||Mori|
|6 Known Agenda||Ortiz Jr.||Pletcher|
|7 Rock Your World||Rosario||Sadler|
Belmont Stakes morning line odds via TVG
Belmont Stakes Field
In order of morning-line odds
Essential Quality (): Kentucky Derby favorite settled for fourth, beaten only by a length after extremely wide trip. Well-rested after first career loss and has the look of deserving favorite.
Rombauer (): Preakness winner at gets new rider after Flavian Prat returns to Hot Rod Charlie. Lower odds and less value this time, but equally as dangerous.
Hot Rod Charlie (): Edged out Essential Quality to finish third in Derby and benefited from smoother trip. Obvious contender again, reunites with jockey Prat, but extra distance could be a question.
Rock Your World (): Second betting choice in Derby lost all chance at start and finished well-beaten 17th. Will control the Belmont pace and could steal this if allowed to set soft fractions while loose on the lead.
Known Agenda (): Non-threatening ninth in Derby. One of three horses in field for New York-based trainer Todd Pletcher, who has won Belmont three times.
Bourbonic (): Pletcher horse was 13th in Derby with no visible excuses. Late runner has no early speed and will need a fast pace to close into.
Overtook (): Grinding sort has just one career victory, none in stakes races. Minor award seems like ceiling for last of Pletcher trio.
France Go de Ina (): Japan-based colt made brief threatening move in Preakness before retreating to finish well-beaten seventh. No obvious reason for improvement.
Check out our expert handicappers’ exclusive Belmont Stakes picks, only with bookiesEDGE
Belmont Stakes Betting Storylines
Sitting one out: For the first time since , there will not be a horse who competed in all three legs of the Triple Crown. The trend in thoroughbred racing is more rest between starts. Three tough races in five weeks is a difficult grind and easy to pass up, especially with no Triple Crown at stake.
Going the distance: The Belmont is the longest of the Triple Crown races, but there’s always a misperception that the race favors late-running styles. The opposite is generally true. Of the last 15 Belmont winners, all but two were within five lengths of the lead after the opening half mile. The last deep closer to win the Belmont was Creator in
Jockey Change: Why did jockey Flavian Prat jump off the Preakness winner to ride another horse on Saturday? Prat rode Hot Rod Charlie in the Kentucky Derby and had already committed to riding him again in the Belmont before accepting the Preakness mount on Rombauer. “They were strong in their word,” relieved Hot Rod Charlie trainer Doug O’Neill said of Prat and his agent.
Our Belmont Stakes Picks
1. Essential Quality
The gray/roan colt tasted defeat for the first time in the Kentucky Derby, but his fourth-place finish, beaten only a length, was deceptively good. Bumped at the start and wide all the way around the track, he ran approximately 68 feet further than top finisher Medina Spirit - the equivalent of six lengths or so. After sitting out the Preakness, he’s well rested and more than capable of making amends for his Derby loss.
His 3 1/2-length Preakness victory was no fluke. After skipping the Derby, he was a fresh horse who easily collared and ran by the tiring leaders down the stretch. A repeat of that performance could be good enough to add a second jewel to his resume.
3. Known Agenda
Ninth in Derby from difficult No. 1 post, he can pick up some pieces late and is worth including on exotic tickets.
Our Belmont Stakes Betting Strategy
A $50 win bet on Essential Quality. Also a $30 exacta Essential Quality over Rombauer, a $10 exacta Rombauer over Essential Quality, and $5 exactas Essential Quality over Known Agenda and Rock Your World.
You can make these bets at TwinSpires.
Belmont Stakes on TV
Post Time: p.m. (ET) Saturday
Where: Belmont Park, Elmont, N.Y.
About the AuthorChet Fussman is a former horse racing writer and longtime sports editor of the Florida Times-Union in Jacksonville is a poker and blackjack player and frequent sports bettor.
Stakes 2020 expert picks belmont
On Saturday, June 5, , Essential Quality outlasted Hot Rod Charlie in a captivating rd running of the $ million Belmont Stakes (G1) presented by NYRA Bets at Belmont Park.Whether youre looking for Belmont Stakes contenders, entries, results and payouts, news, Belmont Stakes odds, Belmont Stakes Racing Festival races, picks and tips, or handicapping advice, you will have the most updated information here.
BELMONT STAKES RESULTS AND PAYOUTS
With a result quite similar to last fall’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), the 2-year-old champion Essential Quality outlasted Hot Rod Charlie to win “The Test of the Champion,” Saturday’s $ million Belmont Stakes (G1) presented by NYRA Bets at Belmont Park.
Ridden by Luis Saez, Essential Quality’s win was his second of the year and followed his first career defeat, a close fourth-place finish as the favorite in the Kentucky Derby (G1) – though he may eventually be placed third, pending the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission’s decision whether or not to disqualify the winning horse. Trained by Brad Cox, the Godolphin homebred Tapit colt’s record now stands at with $3,, earned to date.
Get results and payouts to the Belmont Stakes below. Also, be sure to download our Inside Track to the Belmont Stakes wagering guide. These wagering guides are included at least once a month as part of our premium picks packages.
|2||Essential Quality||Luis Saez||Brad Cox|
|4||Hot Rod Charlie||Flavien Prat||Doug O'Neill|
|3||Rombauer||John Velazquez||Michael McCarthy|
|$ Daily Double (Gold Cup/Belmont)||$||$,|
|$ Daily Double||$||$1,,|
|$ Pick 3||(3 Correct)||$||$,|
|$ Pick 4 (2 Day Pick 4)||3/7/8/ (4 Correct)||$||$,|
|$ Pick 4||(4 Correct)||$||$2,,|
|$ Pick 5||1/2/ (5 Correct)||$||$3,,|
|$ Pick 6 (2 Day Pick 6)||(5 Correct)||$||$0|
|$ Pick 6||/2/ (5 Correct)||$||$0|
|$ Pick 6||/2/ (6 Correct)||$19,||$1,,|
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BELMONT STAKES RACING FESTIVAL RESULTS
Highlighted by the $ million Belmont Stakes (G1), the Belmont Stakes Racing Festival included nine stakes races, including eight Grade 1 races. The undercard included: the Woody Stephens Stakes (G1), Pennine Ridge Stakes (G2), Wonder Again Stakes (G3), Longines Acorn Stakes (G1), and Jaipur Stakes (G1).
Here are the results for the Belmont Stakes Racing Festival:
WOODY STEPHENS STAKES Race Recap/Replay
BROOKLYN STAKES Race Recap/Replay
ACORN STAKES Race Recap/Replay
JAIPUR STAKES Race Recap/Replay
OGDEN PHIPPS STAKES Race Recap/Replay
JUST A GAME STAKES Race Recap/Replay
MET MILE HANDICAP Race Recap/Replay
MANHATTAN STAKES Race Recap/Replay
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